Well perhaps it is not too early to start thinking about our next electoral challenge…and a way out of the mess we’re in.
Right now, the Dems control the Senate 55-45 and as usual, 33 seats (+ any early retirements/interims) will be up for election.
TWENTY Dems will be up for re-election and only 13 Repubs.
Assuming we hold on to all our seats…looking at the Dems, one can say that 8 are SAFE and from states where they cannot be defeated.
This leaves 12 state races to concentrate on and we would need to pick up HALF of them to have a working majority (with Biden as VP).
More importantly perhaps…we need to go after every seat possible in order to give our next President a chance to really accomplish some things with a STRONG Senate majority after the 2016 elections. There will be very LITTLE opportunity for seat pickups in 2016.
Hopefully this thread can serve as a discussion place for the key races and the primary competitions.
Here’s my take on the vulnerable seats and senators:
*Alaska Begich…VERY vulnerable. Beat the under investigation Stevens last time out. Will face strong challenge in a RED state.
*Arkansas Pryor…vulnerable but popular…Arkansas is mostly RED…so that makes the race possible…but Pryor is well liked.
Colorado Udall…unlikely unless STRONG candidate emerges. Popular incumbent advantage in a purple state.
Delaware Coons… unlikely but no witches this time. Not well known or established. Blue state. Strong candidate needed.
*Iowa Harkin (retiring) …VERY vulnerable. Purple state…should be major opportunity as the race is wide open.
*Louisiana Landrieu…VERY vulnerable. Only “blue” left in the state. ANY decent candidate should beat her.
Massachusetts… Kerry leaving for SecState. Special election in June COULD be won by Brown?..decision by him needed? Otherwise a D lock.
Minnesota Franken…possible but blue state and he has kept a LOW, uncontroversial profile.
*North Carolina Hagen…VERY vulnerable. Should be gone. Unpopular.
Oregon Merkley…not likely but possible w. strong candidate.
*S.Dakota Johnson…VERY vulnerable. Should be gone.
*W. Virginia Rockefeller (retiring) …VERY vulnerable.Rep. Capito strong favorite in general…but Tea Party vulnerable. Careful here!!
- indicates the ones I think we will take at this point. 7…with Mass. dependent on Brown’s decision entirely. Could be a good election for us if we don’t shoot ourselves in the foot again with self destructing candidates.