Cruz won the CNN debate


#1

Column 1: RCP average of national polls as of 10/27 (day before debate).
Column 2: Quinnipiac poll 10/29-11/2 (entirely after debate).
Column 3: Column 2 minus Column 1 (debate “bump”).

Cruz 6.6 13 +6.4
Rubio 9 14 +5
Carson 22 23 +1
Trump 26.8 24 -2.8
Carly 5.8 3 -2.8
Bush 7 4 -3

My interpretation is that the Trump/Fiorina losses went to Cruz and the Bush losses went to Rubio.


#2

From the same Quinnipiac poll, matchups versus Hillary:

Carson wins 50/40
Christie wins 46/41
Cruz wins 46/43
Rubio wins 46/41
Trump loses 43/46

No other head to head matchups were polled.

source: www.quinnipiac.edu/images/polling/us/us11042015_xsq33a.pdf