you still miss the point of the papers. They were saying now (1970’s) and into the future for global COOLING based on what they see in the data. You quibble on what data they use is besides the point. There were a lot of people who thought a cooling future was happening right in their eyes.
Your reading of the papers sure miss easy to spot quotes as this one from paper #1:
“A new glacial insolation regime, expected to last 8000 years, began just recently. Mean global temperatures may eventually drop about 1oC in the next hundred years.”
From the NAS:
"National Academy of Sciences, 1975 “Starr and Oort (1973) have reported that, during the period 1958-1963, the hemisphere’s (mass-weighted) mean temperature decreased by about 0.6 °C. … Since the 1940’s, mean temperatures have declined and are now nearly halfway back to the 1880 levels. … There seems little doubt that the present period of unusual warmth will eventually give way to a time of colder climate … [T]here is a finite probability that a serious worldwide cooling could befall the earth within the next hundred years. … [A]s each 100 years passes, we have perhaps a 5 percent greater chance of encountering its [the next glacial’s] onset.”
From the NOAA:
"NOAA, 1974 “Many climatologists have associated this drought and other recent weather anomalies with a global cooling trend and changes in atmospheric circulation which, if prolonged, pose serious threats to major food-producing regions of the world. … Annual average temperatures over the Northern Hemisphere increased rather dramatically from about 1890 through 1940, but have been falling ever since. The total change has averaged about one-half degree Centigrade, with the greatest cooling in higher latitudes.”
“[T]he average growing season in England is already two weeks shorter than it was before 1950. Since the late 1950’s, Iceland’s hay crop yield has dropped about 25 percent, while pack ice in waters around Iceland and Greenland ports is becoming the hazard to navigation it was during the 17th and 18th centuries. … Some climatologists think that if the current cooling trend continues, drought will occur more frequently in India—indeed, through much of Asia, the world’s hungriest continent. … Some climatologists think that the present cooling trend may be the start of a slide into another period of major glaciation, popularly called an ‘ice age’.”
"Hansen et al., 1981 (NASA) “[T]he temperature in the Northern Hemisphere decreased by about 0.5°C between 1940 and 1970, a time of rapid CO2 buildup. … Northern latitudes warmed – 0.8°C between the 1880’s and 1940, then cooled – 0.5°C between 1940 and 1970.”
Meanwhile it appears you are another one who falls hard for the “consensus” paradigm,which is meaningless because it is reproducible research that drives science.
“The view that the planet was warming due to CO2 was consistently the majority position. It was the majority position in 1970. It was the majority position in 1980. It was the majority position in 1990.”
This is a fine example of shibboleth,since it imparts ZERO information and is profoundly anti science,since consensus is a POLITICAL method for driving policy. Not only that you provide ZERO evidence for your claim,while I produced 285 that talks about a cooling trend in the 1960’s-1970’s and into the future.
Since 1979, the ONLY time it warmed was during an El-Nino phase,otherwise zero to a cooling is observed. No visible CO2 warm forcing effect shows up since outgoing IR flow from the planet exceeds what postulated warm forcing CO2 is calculated to produce.
No warming, 1979-1997
No warming from 2002 to 2015
Not only that the IPCC reports since 1990 has always stated a .30C PER DECADE warming trend BASED on the AGW hypothesis. But it has been about half that rate all along and slowing down since 2001.
I posted the Logarithmic effect of CO2,you completely ignored it,how come?
Now you also wrote this,which exposes your ignorance of long term cooling trend which started around 3,000 BC:
“There is still a consensus today that there is an ice age coming. But it will be in about 10,000 years.”
No we have been sliding towards glaciation period,with a few glaciers forming that didn’t exist before as of around 2,000 years ago.