njc, I replied to you once and didn’t say how nice it is to see you. Not sure if you’ve been avoiding me in my threads or if you’ve been away, but it’s nice to see you back!
It is an imperfect endeavor to be sure. Polls are only as good as the information that goes into them. Garbage in, garbage out.
But to suggest that the only polls done nationally are controlled by Soros is tin-foil hat stuff. As if the right, or independents lack the capacity to create a poll that represents a reasonable crosssection of the country.
I’m always somewhat baffled on how the far-right has turned on polls as if, because they didn’t represent the result in the last election, that they must be evil and vile.
As CWolf points out, the polls weren’t off by that much, I think it was the media’s reporting (or lack of) that was the real issue.
That said, this isn’t a poll:
Now, if I’m being honest, this type of thing only appeals to certain kinds of people, thus I admit there are a lot of people that are unrepresented here.
The question is, are the kind of people that would risk money making predictions the same kinds of people that will vote and are representative of the nation at large?
I admit I don’t know the answer to this question, but what I do know is that the results are genuine in that they aren’t targeted as the site does not choose who participates and no one has an influence on who people chose to place their money on.
What I do know is that there are a group of people in the US that are for Biden or against Trump (however you wish to look at it) by a substantial margin.
It’s not controlled by George Soros. It’s a place where people put there money where their mouths are.
I’ll be interested to come back here after the election and see how accurate this is.