Water has three atoms in it.
That’s three places for 114 atoms, or 114[sup]3[/sup] = 1481544. In addition, there are 2[sup]3[/sup] ways to order HOO, or water, so that’s 8/1481544 = 0.0005%. Does that mean water will almost never form? No, of course not, because hydrogen and oxygen are abundant, and because water likes to form from these atoms, and there are numerous reactions that are relatively easy that will make water, such as combustion. Using these probability games to disprove amino acid formation is just as ludicrous as this example. You use chemistry to discuss chemistry, not amateur algebra.