IF Repubs lose the House, there will be more than one reason for it. Lies/ distortions/ommissions by media and the failure of Repubs to be prepared to produce a passable Obamacare repeal and replace bill, after having years to consider alternatives and promising to do so, come immediately to mind.
However, in spite of all his positive, nearly single-handed accomplishments, I think Trump will deserve some measure of responsibility. While I gladly applaud accomplishment over oratory, Trump’s level of inarticulation is unique among modern presidents. Likewise his unique penchant for stepping in it - speaking without any thought regarding political consequences.
That’s fine with much of his base and hopefully it hasn’t spoiled the chances of retaining Congress - including the House. However, what a president can do without controlling the House is limited. Losing the House would be a huge deal for reasons I assume all here are aware of.
As for Trump’s penchant for thoughtless speech, allow me the following example from among the LONG list:
In Montana, the Repub incumbent congressman, Gianforte, a few weeks ago held a nearly double digit lead over Dem challenger, Kathleen Williams, even after he had a physical altercation with a reporter. Recentltly, Trump held a rally in Missoula where he noted that he had backed Gianforte early on, then heard that Gianforte had “body slammed” a reporter. Trump announced to his audience that he, at first, thought that might cost Gianforte his chance at being elected - then, Trump said that after he thought about it he decided in a tough state like Montana, body slamming a reporter might actually help Gianforte. BTW - Gianforte pleaded guilty to a misdemeanor in the case.
The message many will hear - physically assaulting a reporter is OK.
So, Trump plays to his base and apparently alienates damn near every undecided voter - polls now show the race dead even with one poll showing Williams up by 3 points. This is in a SOLID red state (Trump carried the state in 2016 by 20%). There is also a close Senate race going on in Montana - the Repub challenger, Denny Rehberg, is trying to unseat a very beatable incumbent, Jon Tester, and the race is now even - Tester up by 1%.
This kind of unforced error is simply ignorant - there is NOTHING to be gained by it and it supplies the Left with yet another talking point in their effort to blame Trump for everything imaginable, to be used against him and Repubs locked in close election struggles across the nation in an effort to hold congress - IMHO
In light of recent events, Trump’s “body slamming” comment appears even more toxic to the hopes of retaining the House…