Former President Donald Trump leads President Joe Biden by a double-digit margin in a hypothetical 2024 matchup in Nevada—a state that Trump lost in 2020 as well as in 2016.
Democratic presidential candidates have won in Nevada in every election going back to 2008—when former President Barack Obama flipped the state blue after it had gone for former President George W. Bush in 2000 and again in 2004. Obama won the western state during his successful reelection bid in 2012, while Trump lost there to former Democratic presidential contender Hillary Clinton in 2016, then again to Biden in 2020.
However, new polling shows that Nevada is leaning to the right in favor of Trump. The survey results released by Blue Print Polling on Friday had the former president backed by 44.1 percent of likely voters in the state while Biden was supported by just 34.2 percent—an approximately 10 point difference. An additional 9.3 percent said they would cast ballots for a third party contender and 12.3 percent were undecided, demonstrating that the numbers could still shift substantially before 2024.