Awhile ago, Tom Bradley ran for governor in California. He was polling so well, it was a bit of a shock when he didn’t win. It’s been dubbed “The Bradley Effect”- people say one thing to pollsters, but in the privacy of the polling booth, do something else.
In Trump’s case, I wonder if he’s polling a bit (or maybe a lot) lower than his actual support in. Obviously, I move in more liberal circles then y’all, but I have to admit that Trump’s candor is refreshing. I’m tired of Polical Correctness masquerading as tolerance and being blamed for every problem in the world because I’m a straight white male. Trump has absolutely no filter and no fear of offending anyone. Would that we could all talk that way! I live near San Bernadino and I had to think long and hard about banning Muslim immigrants. I don’t think we should, but if we have a few more attacks, I may be pushed into that direction.
Anyway, if a liberal like me kinda-sorta likes Trump, what do moderates think? Are people uncomfortable telling pollsters they support Trump when they really do? I think so, and I think his support might be as much as 10 points higher than it really is. What do you all think?