It could be if I was doing that, I suppose, but I’m equivocating self proclaimed experts with self proclaimed experts, and even genuine experts who actually do know what they’re talking about are proved wrong often enough. Like the so called ‘expert’ wildlife biologists who will (or would, anyway, I don’t waste my time on them any more) tell you eastern timber rattlers only grow six and half feet long. I have personally killed 3 nearly eight feet long, and one eight and a half. South of here, they’re even bigger, but the textbooks say six and a half, so the not-so-unusual specimens can be ignored if not outright denied. (Maybe they’ve updated the textbooks… but I doubt it)
Expert doesn’t mean infallible. Rare doesn’t mean non-existent. Unusual doesn’t mean impossible.
General trends have all kinds of exceptions.
Y’all make all the confident predictions you want. Me, I’ll wait and see. Maybe he gets lucky. Maybe he has intelligence on the political and economic conditions in China that gives him an ‘ace in the hole’ for winning concessions with meaningful benefit. Maybe it’s an unmitigated disaster. Maybe a dinosaur killer smacks us all into oblivion and none of it matters.
I have never liked Donald Trump. I have always considered him conceited, arrogant and vain, with all that implies. I have never approved of his cavalier attitude towards relationships with women in general and marriage in particular. He comes across to me as the worst kind of huckster… and yet I find myself thus far satisfied with the product he has provided. Not by any means perfect, it is far better than I expected.